There are a lot of fears that technology of various sorts is going to reduce the need for human labor to a point where we may need to provide universal basic income, reduce the work week radically, and/or have mass unemployment. I have a different take on where things are headed. I think we are … Continue reading The Productivity Gain: Where Is It Coming From And Where Is It Going To?
With all new technologies there are predictions of how good it will be for humankind, or how bad it will be. A common thread that I have observed is how people tend to underestimate how long new technologies will take to be adopted after proof of concept demonstrations. I pointed to this as the seventh … Continue reading My Dated Predictions
Note: This short post is intended as a counterpoint to some claims that are being made about the need to control AI research. I don’t directly refer to those claims. You can figure it out. When humans next land on the Moon it will be with the help of many, many, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning … Continue reading AI/ML Is Not Uniquely Powerful Enough To Need Controlling
I was sitting on the beach looking at the full moon above. I looked through my binoculars to see more detail. And then it occurred to me that I could see on that surface every single location that humans had landed on the surface of a body in space that was not Earth. Six times, … Continue reading What If There Were Men On The Moon Today?
[An essay in my series on the Future of Robotics and Artificial Intelligence.] We are surrounded by hysteria about the future of Artificial Intelligence and Robotics. There is hysteria about how powerful they will become how quickly, and there is hysteria about what they will do to jobs. As I write these words on September … Continue reading [FoR&AI] The Seven Deadly Sins of Predicting the Future of AI
[An essay in my series on the Future of Robotics and Artificial Intelligence.] Much of the recent enthusiasm about Artificial Intelligence is based on the spectacular recent successes of machine learning, itself often capitalized as Machine Learning, and often referred to as ML. It has become common in the technology world that the presence of … Continue reading [FoR&AI] Machine Learning Explained
[An essay in my series on the Future of Robotics and Artificial Intelligence.] Friday March 11th, 2011, was a bad day for Japan. At 2:46pm local time a magnitude 9.1 earthquake occurred 72 kilometers offshore, east of the Oshika Peninsula which is in the Tohoku region of Japan. A great tsunami was triggered with maximum … Continue reading [FoR&AI] Domo Arigato Mr. Roboto
I plan on publishing a set of essays on the future of robotics and Artificial Intelligence in the late summer and fall of 2017, perhaps extending in to 2018. I’ll list them all here as they come out. They are designed to be read as stand alone essays, and in any order, but I’ll order … Continue reading [FoR&AI] Future of Robotics and Artificial Intelligence
Our automobiles are getting three makeovers simultaneously, with promises of a fourth. There is more action in reinventing of automobiles all at once than there has been since the first ones crawled into existence. First, our cars are turning electric, and the UK recently said that no new gas or diesel automobiles will be allowed … Continue reading Experiments In Automobile UI/UX
Perhaps through this essay I will get the bee out of my bonnet that fully driverless cars are a lot further off than many techies, much of the press, and even many auto executives seem to think. They will get here and human driving will probably disappear in the lifetimes of many people reading this, but … Continue reading Edge Cases For Self Driving Cars
