[You can follow me on social media: @rodneyabrooks.bsky.social] This is my sixth annual update on how my dated predictions from January 1st, 2018 concerning (1) self driving cars, (2) robotics, AI , and machine learning, and (3) human space travel, have held up. I promised then to review them at the start of the year every … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2024 January 01
On January 1st, 2018, I made predictions about self driving cars, Artificial Intelligence, machine learning, and robotics, and about progress in the space industry. Those predictions had dates attached to them for 32 years up through January 1st, 2050. As part of self certifying the seriousness of my predictions I promised to review them, as made … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2023 January 01
On January 1st, 2018, I made predictions about self driving cars, Artificial Intelligence, machine learning, and robotics, and about progress in the space industry. Those predictions had dates attached to them for 32 years up through January 1st, 2050. I made my predictions because at the time I saw an immense amount of hype about these three … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2022 January 01
On January 1st, 2018, I made predictions about self driving cars, Artificial Intelligence and machine learning, and about progress in the space industry. Those predictions had dates attached to them for 32 years up through January 1st, 2050. I made my predictions because at the time I saw an immense amount of hype about these three topics, … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2021 January 01
On January 1st, 2018, I made predictions (here) about self driving cars, Artificial Intelligence and machine learning, and about progress in the space industry. Those predictions had dates attached to them for 32 years up through January 1st, 2050. I made my predictions because at the time I saw an immense amount of hype about these three … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2020 January 01
On January 1st, 2018, I made predictions (here) about self driving cars, Artificial Intelligence and machine learning, and about progress in the space industry. Those predictions had dates attached to them for 32 years up through January 1st, 2050. So, today, January 1st, 2019, is my first annual self appraisal of how well I did. I’ll try … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2019 January 01
With all new technologies there are predictions of how good it will be for humankind, or how bad it will be. A common thread that I have observed is how people tend to underestimate how long new technologies will take to be adopted after proof of concept demonstrations. I pointed to this as the seventh … Continue reading My Dated Predictions