This post is about how much things can change in the world over a lifetime. I’m going to restrict my attention to science, though there are many parallels in technology, human rights, and social justice. I was born in late 1954 so I am 65 years old. I figure I have another 30 years, with … Continue reading How Much Things Can Change
This blog is not peer reviewed at all. I write it, I put it out there, and people read it or not. It is my little megaphone that I alone control. But I don’t think anyone, or at least I hope that no-one, thinks that I am publishing scientific papers here. They are my opinion … Continue reading Peer Review
Again and again in human history networks spanning physical geography have both enabled and been enabled by the very same innovations. Networks are the catalysts for the innovations and the innovations are the catalysts for the networks. This is autocatalysis at human civilization scale. The Roman empire brought for people within its expanding borders long distance … Continue reading What Networks Will Co-Evolve With AI and Robotics?
On January 1st, 2018, I made predictions (here) about self driving cars, Artificial Intelligence and machine learning, and about progress in the space industry. Those predictions had dates attached to them for 32 years up through January 1st, 2050. I made my predictions because at the time I saw an immense amount of hype about these three … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2020 January 01
[Phillip Alvelda is an old friend from MIT, and CEO of Brainworks.] Pondering how to close what seems to be a rapidly widening empathy gap here in the U.S. and globally. I used to just be resigned to the fact that many of my white friends who had never felt, or experienced discrimination directed at … Continue reading Guest Post by Phillip Alvelda: Pondering the Empathy Gap
A very recent article follows in the footsteps of many others talking about how the promise of autonomous cars on roads is a little further off than many pundits have been predicting for the last few years. Readers of this blog will know that I have been saying this for over two years now. Such skepticism is … Continue reading AGI Has Been Delayed
Just last week Rich Sutton published a very short blog post titled The Bitter Lesson. I’m going to try to keep this review shorter than his post. Sutton is well known for his long and sustained contributions to reinforcement learning. In his post he argues, using many good examples, that over the 70 year history … Continue reading A Better Lesson
On January 1st, 2018, I made predictions (here) about self driving cars, Artificial Intelligence and machine learning, and about progress in the space industry. Those predictions had dates attached to them for 32 years up through January 1st, 2050. So, today, January 1st, 2019, is my first annual self appraisal of how well I did. I’ll try … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2019 January 01
[This is the fourth part of a four part essay–here is Part I.] We have been talking about building an Artificial General Intelligence agent, or even a Super Intelligence agent. How are we going to get there? How are we going get to ECW and SLP? What do researchers need to work on now? In … Continue reading [FoR&AI] Steps Toward Super Intelligence IV, Things to Work on Now
[This is the third part of a four part essay–here is Part I.] If we are going to develop an Artificial Intelligence system as good as a human, an ECW or SLP say, from Part II of this essay, and if we want to get beyond that, we need to understand what current AI can … Continue reading [FoR&AI] Steps Toward Super Intelligence III, Hard Things Today