On January 1st, 2018, I made predictions about self driving cars, Artificial Intelligence, machine learning, and robotics, and about progress in the space industry. Those predictions had dates attached to them for 32 years up through January 1st, 2050. I made my predictions because at the time I saw an immense amount of hype about these three … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2022 January 01
So far my life has been rather extraordinary in that through great underserved luck1 I have been present at, or nearby to, many of the defining technological advances in computer science, Artificial Intelligence, and robotics, that now in 2021 are starting to dominate our world. I knew and rubbed shoulders2 with many of the greats, those … Continue reading The Origin of Robot Arm Programming Languages
On January 1st, 2018, I made predictions about self driving cars, Artificial Intelligence and machine learning, and about progress in the space industry. Those predictions had dates attached to them for 32 years up through January 1st, 2050. I made my predictions because at the time I saw an immense amount of hype about these three topics, … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2021 January 01
In surveys of AI “experts” on when we are going to get to human level intelligence in our AI systems, I am usually an outlier, predicting it will take ten or twenty times longer than the second most pessimistic person surveyed. Others have a hard time believing that it is not right around the corner … Continue reading An Analogy For The State Of AI
This post is about how much things can change in the world over a lifetime. I’m going to restrict my attention to science, though there are many parallels in technology, human rights, and social justice. I was born in late 1954 so I am 65 years old. I figure I have another 30 years, with … Continue reading How Much Things Can Change
This blog is not peer reviewed at all. I write it, I put it out there, and people read it or not. It is my little megaphone that I alone control. But I don’t think anyone, or at least I hope that no-one, thinks that I am publishing scientific papers here. They are my opinion … Continue reading Peer Review
Again and again in human history networks spanning physical geography have both enabled and been enabled by the very same innovations. Networks are the catalysts for the innovations and the innovations are the catalysts for the networks. This is autocatalysis at human civilization scale. The Roman empire brought for people within its expanding borders long distance … Continue reading What Networks Will Co-Evolve With AI and Robotics?
On January 1st, 2018, I made predictions (here) about self driving cars, Artificial Intelligence and machine learning, and about progress in the space industry. Those predictions had dates attached to them for 32 years up through January 1st, 2050. I made my predictions because at the time I saw an immense amount of hype about these three … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2020 January 01
[Phillip Alvelda is an old friend from MIT, and CEO of Brainworks.] Pondering how to close what seems to be a rapidly widening empathy gap here in the U.S. and globally. I used to just be resigned to the fact that many of my white friends who had never felt, or experienced discrimination directed at … Continue reading Guest Post by Phillip Alvelda: Pondering the Empathy Gap
A very recent article follows in the footsteps of many others talking about how the promise of autonomous cars on roads is a little further off than many pundits have been predicting for the last few years. Readers of this blog will know that I have been saying this for over two years now. Such skepticism is … Continue reading AGI Has Been Delayed